US Inflation Updates: Kya Chal Raha Hai?
Guys, US mein inflation ke naye numbers aa gaye hain! May mein, inflation thoda control mein dikh raha hai, jo economists ne expect kiya tha usse kam. Iska matlab hai ki jo companies hain, woh tariff ke badhe hue rates consumers se nahi le rahi hain. Chalo, dekhte hain iska kya matlab hai!
Inflation Data Kya Kehta Hai?
Bureau of Labor Statistics ke data ke hisab se, consumer price index (CPI), jisme food aur energy ko nikaal diya jaye toh, April se sirf 0.1% badha hai. Pichle saal se dekhe toh yeh 2.8% badha hai. Goods prices mein koi change nahi hua, lekin new aur used cars ke prices thode kam hue hain, aur kapdon ke daam bhi gire hain.
Services Prices mein Kya Change Hai?
Services prices, energy ko hata kar, sirf 0.2% badhe hain, jo pichle mahine se kam hai. Airfares aur hotel stays ke prices bhi kam hue hain. Is wajah se Treasury bonds strong hue hain, dollar ki value giri hai, aur S&P 500 higher open hua.
Interest Rates ka Kya Scene Hai?
Traders ko lag raha hai ki Federal Reserve September tak interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Unhe 75% probability lag rahi hai ki borrowing costs kam honge. Lekin, agar tariffs badhte rahe, toh companies ke liye prices ko control karna mushkil ho jayega.
Tariffs ka Impact?
Economists ko lagta hai ki companies aane wale mahino mein apne prices badha sakti hain. Brian Coulton, chief economist at Fitch Ratings, ne kaha ki tariffs ki wajah se prices mein change der se dikh raha hai, lekin aane wale time mein core goods inflation badh sakta hai.
Consumers par Asar?
Consumers already inflation se pareshan hain, aur agar prices aur badhe toh woh kharch kam kar sakte hain. Companies like JM Smucker Co. aur Best Buy Co. ne kaha hai ki iska asar unke profit par padega, aur economic growth bhi slow ho sakti hai.
Fed ka Decision Kya Hoga?
Filhaal, Fed interest rates ko hold par rakh sakta hai. Lekin, agar inflation aur labor market cool hote rahe, toh unhe borrowing costs kam karne ka pressure aa sakta hai. Economists Alex Pelle aur Steven Ricchiuto ne kaha ki CPI aur PPI data Fed ke decision ko change kar sakte hain.
Kuch Products ke Prices Badhe
Kuch products, jin par import duties lagi hain, unke prices badhe hain. Toys ke prices 2023 ke baad sabse zyada badhe hain, aur major appliances ke prices bhi pichle 5 saalon mein sabse zyada badhe hain.
Gasoline aur Groceries ka Kya Haal Hai?
Gasoline ke prices 2.6% gire hain, jisne overall CPI ko control mein rakha. Lekin, groceries ke prices 0.3% badhe hain. Cereals, fish, aur bacon ke prices badhe hain, jabki egg prices kam hue hain. Ground beef ke prices bhi badhe hain, kyunki cattle herd kam hai aur demand zyada.
Housing Costs ka Impact
Housing costs bhi inflation ka bada karan hain. Shelter prices 0.3% badhe hain. Travel-related categories mein bhi kami aayi hai, aur recreational services, jaise sporting events ke admission, bhi kam hue hain.
Aage Kya Hoga?
Retailers like Walmart Inc. aur Target Corp. ne higher prices ki warning di hai, aur carmakers like Ford Motor Co. aur Subaru Corp. ne bhi. Trade talks ka result aur wage growth bhi inflation ko effect karenge.
