RBI Repo Rate Gir Sakta Hai: Inflation Down, Rate Cuts Expected
Aapko pata hai kya? Experts predict kar rahe hain ki RBI ka repo rate 5.25% tak gir sakta hai! Yeh sab kyun ho raha hai? Kyunki inflation kam ho raha hai aur Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) 2025 mein aur rate cuts kar sakti hai. Global risks bhi manageable hain, toh economy ko boost mil sakta hai.
March Mein Inflation 6 Saal Ke Lowest Level Par
March mein retail inflation 3.3% par aa gaya, jo 6 saal ka sabse kam hai. Yeh RBI ke 2024-25 ke 4% inflation forecast se bhi kam hai. Sabziyon ke prices mein kaafi kami aayi hai, jiske wajah se food inflation bhi 2.9% tak aa gaya hai. Vegetable inflation toh 7% gir gaya!
Experts Ki Predictions
Emkay Global ki Madhavi Arora ke hisab se April CPI 3.2-3.3% rahega. Unka kehna hai ki RBI ka current fiscal ke first quarter ka 3.6% wala forecast 20-30 basis points tak kam ho sakta hai. Arora predict karti hain ki current fiscal mein overall inflation 3.8-3.9% rahega. Core inflation bhi 4.1-4.2% ke aas paas rahega, kyuki food prices aur supply-side factors stable hain.
Rate Cuts Ki Umeed
Economists abhi aur rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain. Arora ko June mein 25 basis-point cut lag raha hai, aur saal ke end tak aur bhi cuts ho sakte hain. Aise mein terminal rate 5.25% tak ja sakta hai.
Nirmal Bang toh 2025 mein 100 basis points ke cumulative rate cuts ki baat kar raha hai, June aur August dono mein. Nirmal Bang ki economist Teresa John ka kehna hai ki growth risks ki wajah se easing justified hai.
Barclays ki India chief economist Aastha Gudwani bhi do aur rate cuts ki expectation rakhti hain 2025 mein. Unka manna hai ki inflation control mein rahega, even though seasonal factors se vegetable prices badh sakte hain.
Aage Kya?
Dekhna yeh hoga ki RBI aage kya karta hai. Lekin filhaal, yeh news economy ke liye positive hai. Inflation kam hai, growth ki umeed hai, aur rate cuts se market ko boost mil sakta hai. Yeh latest updates aapko NDTV Profit par mil jayenge.
