Sona Hua Asmaan Chhoo, Pehli Baar $3,000 Ke Paar!
Aaj kal duniya bhar mein mandi ka mahaul hai, aur iske chalte sone ki keemat aasmaan chhoo rahi hai. Pehli baar sona $3,000 प्रति औंस ke paar chala gaya! Yeh baat Friday ko hui, jab sone ka bhav 0.4% badhkar $3,001.20 tak pahunch gaya.
Sona Bana Asli Hero!
Jab market mein hadkamp machta hai, tab sona hi asli hero banta hai. Pichle 25 saalon mein sone ki keemat 10 guna badhi hai. Jabki US stocks ka benchmark S&P 500 sirf chaar guna hi badh paya hai.
Trade War Ka Asar
Reports ke mutaabik, trade war ke dar se America mein sone ki demand badh gayi hai. Iske chalte, election day aur 12 March ke beech, kareeb $70 billion ke 23 million ounces se bhi zyada sona New York ke Comex futures exchange mein aa gaya hai. Itna zyada import hone ki wajah se January mein US trade deficit record level par pahunch gaya.
Sona Kyun Chamak Raha Hai?
Jab bhi duniya mein aarthik aur raajnitik tanaav badhta hai, sone ki keemat badh jati hai. Financial crisis ke baad sona $1,000 ke paar gaya tha, aur Covid ke time pe $2,000 ke paar. Pandemic ke baad sone ka bhav $1,600 tak gir gaya tha, lekin 2023 mein central banks ne dollar ke badle sona khareedna shuru kar diya, aur fir se sone ki demand badh gayi. 2024 ke shuruwat mein China mein sone ki khareedari badhi, aur US elections ke baad trade policy ki wajah se sone ka bhav aur tezi se badhne laga.
$3,500 Tak Ja Sakta Hai Sona!
Macquarie ka kehna hai ki September quarter tak sone ka bhav $3,500 tak ja sakta hai. First Eagle Investment Management LLC ke co-portfolio manager, Thomas Kertsos kehte hain, “Sona ek aisi asset hai jo har tarah ke macroeconomic dislocations mein apni value barkarar rakhta hai.”
Interest Rates Aur Dollar Ka Asar
Normally, jab interest rates aur dollar strong hote hain, toh sone ka bhav girta hai. Lekin is baar ulta ho raha hai. Chinese investors dollar ke mukable yuan ke girne ki wajah se sone mein invest kar rahe hain. Duniya bhar mein badhti inflation ki wajah se bhi log sone ko safe investment maan rahe hain.
Trump Sarkar Ka Trade Policy Ka Khel!
Lekin experts ka kehna hai ki 2025 mein sone ke bhav mein itni tezi ki sabse badi wajah US government ki trade policy hai. President Trump ne Canada, Mexico, European Union, China, steel aur aluminum par tariffs laga diye hain. Trump sarkar ne global order ko disrupt karne ki bhi dhamki di hai.
Central Banks Bhi Khareed Rahe Hain Sona!
2022 mein Russia ke Ukraine par hamle ke baad, kai Russian dollar assets freeze kar diye gaye the. Iske baad se central banks dollar ke badle sona khareedne lage hain. China ne 2022 mein sone ki khareedari bahut badha di thi. Ab China ki khareedari kam hui hai, lekin Poland, India aur Turkey jaise desh abhi bhi zyada sona khareed rahe hain.
Aage Kya Hoga?
Abhi bhi sone ka bhav apne 1980 ke inflation-adjusted peak $3,800 se kaafi kam hai. Kuch analysts ka kehna hai ki 2025 mein sone ka bhav aur bhi badh sakta hai. Bank of America ke analysts ka kehna hai ki agar investment demand 10% badhti hai, toh sone ka bhav $3,500 tak pahunch sakta hai.
