Trump aur Putin ke beech ladaai ka kya scene hai?
Reports ke mutaabik, Trump aur Zelensky ke beech hui baatchit mein Trump ne Zelensky ko bola ki “tumhare paas koi cards nahi hai”. Trump sahi the, unhone Zelensky ko yaad dilaya ki woh Russia se haar rahe hain aur US support ke bina nahi tik sakte. Trump ne thode time ke liye Ukraine ko military support aur intelligence dena band kar diya tha, jiske baad Ukraine ko Saudi Arabia mein American officials ke saath 30-din ke ceasefire deal ke liye maan na pada. Isse duniya ka dhyaan Moscow ki taraf gaya. Kya woh ceasefire deal ko accept karega ya reject?
Putin khel rahe hain lamba game
Russian leader Vladimir Putin ne ceasefire proposal par conditional ‘yes’ kaha, kyunki woh jaante hain ki Zelensky ke ulat unke paas cards hain. Putin ne Moscow mein press conference mein kaha, “Idea sahi hai, aur hum ise support karte hain. Hum ladaai rokne ke proposals se sehmat hain, lekin hum chahte hain ki ceasefire se permanent peace aaye aur crisis ki root causes khatam hon.”
Putin outrightly ceasefire ko reject nahi kar sakte the. Woh Trump ko naraaz nahi karna chahte. Woh chahte hain ki US ke saath relations normal ho jaaye, saare sanctions hat jaaye, aur woh global politics mein wapas aa jaaye. Lekin woh aisa ceasefire bhi nahi chahte jab unki military Ukraine mein jeet rahi ho. Unhone Kursk region ko almost recapture kar liya hai, jahan woh military fatigues mein gaye the.
Ukraine peace deal: Korea jaisa armistice?
Trump utne hi impatient lag rahe hain jitne 1951 mein Mao the, jab woh Korean war ko khatam karne ke liye 2 weeks mein peace agreement chahte the. Lekin negotiations 2 saal tak chale aur July 27, 1953 ko jo document sign hua woh peace deal nahi balki armistice agreement tha jisme 3 saal purani war khatam hui. Peace deal kabhi sign hi nahi hua.
Deal kaisa hoga?
Putin war ke root causes ke baare mein jo sochte hain woh Ukraine ke sovereign state hone ko khatre mein daalta hai. Jab unhone 3 saal pehle invade kiya tha tab woh chahte the ki Ukraine Russia ka part ban jaaye. Woh abhi ke conflict mein Donbas kaafi had tak capture kar chuke hain. Ukraine ka Crimea region 2014 mein Russia ne annex kar liya tha.
Zelensky aisa deal sign nahi kar sakte jisme woh Putin ko Ukraine ke bade hisse rakhne de. Toh, immediate ceasefire ke baad armistice theek hai, lekin peace deal nahi. Armistice mein woh Russia ko Crimea rakhne de sakte hain lekin Donbas maang sakte hain. Putin iske liye bhi maanenge yeh mushkil hai.
Kursk: Kyiv ki sabse badi blunder
Ukraine ki position aur kamzor ho gayi hai August mein Russia ke Kursk region mein hue offensive ke baad, jise ab unki sabse badi strategic mistake maana ja raha hai. Is surprise offensive mein Kyiv ne jaldi se kai sau kilometers Russian territory capture kar liya tha, jise West mein ek clever move kaha gaya tha jo future peace negotiations mein bargaining chip ki tarah use ho sakta tha.
Ceasefire kaise maintain hoga?
Korean armistice itne saalon tak isliye chala kyunki US ne 1953 ke agreement ke baad South Korea mein apni military force deploy kar di thi. Ukraine deal ke successful hone ke liye aisi hi guarantees zaroori hain. Zelensky isi liye inki request kar rahe hain.
India ka role
Putin ne Thursday ko press conference mein PM Modi aur China, Brazil aur South Africa ke leaders ko Ukraine conflict solve karne ki koshish ke liye thanks kaha. Isse lagta hai ki India behind the scenes active raha hai. Ukraine, Modi aur Trump ke beech pichle mahine Washington mein hui talks mein bhi tha. Indian diplomats Moscow aur Kyiv ke touch mein bhi hain.
US ka pressure Russia par
Trump administration ab Moscow par ceasefire deal accept karne ka pressure bana raha hai. US media reports ke mutaabik, Washington Russian oil, gas aur banking sectors par sanctions aur tough kar raha hai.
Putin jaante hain ki unhe war khatam karni hai. Western estimates ke hisaab se unhe kai lakh jaanein gawaani padi hain. West ke sanctions ne Russia ki economy ko almost cripple kar diya hai. Trump warning de chuke hain ki agar Moscow ceasefire proposal accept nahi karta toh woh Russia ko financially destroy kar sakte hain.
Putin karenge bargain
Putin Ukraine mein ladaai lambi kheechne ki koshish karenge taki military gains maximize kar sakein aur kisi bhi agreement ki terms par bargain karenge. US media mein reports hain ki Keith Kellogg, ek retired American general aur Trump ke envoy ko Russia ke request par Ukraine peace talks se hata diya gaya hai.
Antarrashtriya scenario mein, yeh sabse latest updates hain.
