JPMorgan: US Equity Correction Ke Din Ab Khatam Hone Wale Hain?
Reports ke mutaabik, JPMorgan Chase & Co. ka kehna hai ki US equity market correction ka bura दौर ab khatam ho sakta hai. Unka manna hai ki credit markets se recession ka risk kam lag raha hai.
Credit Markets De Rahe Hain Positive Signals
JPMorgan ke strategists, jinmein Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou aur Mika Inkinen bhi shaamil hain, ne ek note mein bataya ki credit markets, jo pichhle do saal mein kai baar sahi sabit hue hain, ek baar phir se US recession risks ko equity ya rate markets se kam dekh rahe hain.
Small Caps vs. Debt: Recession Ki Probability Mein Farak
JPMorgan ke analysis ke anusaar, small caps, jo domestic growth ke प्रति sensitive hote hain, woh 50% probability dekh rahe hain US recession ki. Jabki debt markets sirf 9% se 12% probability hi dekh rahe hain.
Rate Aur Commodity Markets Bhi Equity Jaisa Soch Rahe Hain
Reports batate hain ki rate aur commodity markets bhi equity markets ki tarah hi expectations dikha rahe hain.
Investors Ke Liye Rahat Ki Khabar
Yeh news investors ke liye rahat ki baat hai, kyuki duniya ki sabse badi economy ke contract hone ki dar se stocks correction territory ke paas aa gaye.
Experts Ki Raaye Mein Badlav
Isi hafte, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. aur Citigroup Inc. jaise kai banks ne growth concerns ki wajah se US equities par apne views downgrade kar diye hain. Market forecasters jaise Ed Yardeni ne bhi 2025 ke liye bullish calls ko kam kar diya hai.
Trade Policies Aur Job Cuts Ka Asar
President Donald Trump ki trade policies aur government job cuts ne markets ko ghuma diya hai, S&P 500 Index apne February ke record high se kareeb 9% gir gaya hai. Tech stocks bhi correction mein aa gaye.
Quant Funds Aur Market Slide
JPMorgan ke strategists ka kehna hai ki yeh recent slide zyada quant fund position adjustments ki wajah se hua hai, na ki fundamental ya discretionary managers ke US recession risks ke reassessment se.
Hedge Funds Ke Liye Mushkil Waqt
Kuch multistrategy hedge funds pandemic ke shuruati dino ke baad se apni sabse badi chunauti ka saamna kar rahe hain, market selloff ke chalte unhe crowded trades ko unwind karna pad raha hai.
Brevan Howard Asset Management Ghataa Raha Hai Risk
Macro hedge fund specialist Brevan Howard Asset Management performance slump ke beech traders ke risks ko kam kar raha hai, jisse pichhle saal ke gains khatam ho gaye hain.
ETFs Se Mil Sakta Hai Support
Market ko exchange traded funds (ETFs) ke inflows se support mil sakta hai. Equities ko mutual funds, US defined benefit pension funds, aur kuch sovereign wealth investors ke month ya quarter-end rebalancing se bhi buying support mil sakta hai, jo kareeb $135 billion tak ho sakta hai.
Aage Kya?
JPMorgan ke strategists ka kehna hai ki agar US equity ETFs mein inflows aate rahe, toh yeh mumkin hai ki current US equity market correction ka bura waqt ab beet chuka hai.
