According to Kirill Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence, the country will face significant challenges both on the front line and internally in late spring and early summer. These concerns arise amid fears that Russia may breach Ukraine’s defenses, as expressed by officials in Kiev and Western backers.
Budanov predicts “a rather difficult situation awaits us in the near future,” with issues anticipated in mid-May and early June. He expects challenges on the battlefield and within the internal political landscape. While not providing specifics, he suggests Russia will employ an integrated approach to attain its objectives.
Western media and officials anticipate a major Russian offensive, citing Russia’s superior firepower and delays in Western assistance to Kiev, resulting in ammunition shortages. President Vladimir Zelensky shares these concerns, acknowledging that while Ukrainian troops have stabilized the frontline earlier this year, they are not adequately prepared to counter a significant Russian offensive in the coming months. He anticipates Moscow’s offensive in late May or June and urges Western backers for increased military aid.
Budanov further suggests that Ukrainian forces could retreat to reduce the frontline’s length. The US House of Representatives recently approved a $61 billion aid package for Ukraine, which is pending Senate approval and President Biden’s signature. The Pentagon aims to deliver arms to Ukraine within a week of approval. However, analysts and Ukrainian officials believe that while the aid will enhance Kiev’s military capabilities, it may only delay Russia’s advancement.
