Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Earnings Preview: What to Watch for on October 22nd

## Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Earnings Preview: What to Watch for on October 22nd

Get ready for a key event in the packaging industry: Packaging Corp of America (PKG) is set to release its quarterly earnings on Tuesday, October 22nd. Investors will be glued to their screens, eagerly awaiting the announcement.

Analysts are predicting an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.49. However, what truly excites investors is not just meeting expectations but the potential for exceeding them. Furthermore, investors will be keen to hear about the company’s outlook for the next quarter. New investors should remember that while earnings performance is crucial, the market often reacts more strongly to guidance.

Looking Back: PKG’s Track Record

Let’s take a peek at PKG’s recent performance and how the market responded:

| Quarter | EPS Estimate | EPS Actual | Price Change % |
|—|—|—|—|
| Q2 2024 | 2.14 | 2.20 | 0.0% |
| Q1 2024 | 1.68 | 1.72 | -5.0% |
| Q4 2023 | 1.83 | 2.13 | 4.0% |
| Q3 2023 | 1.93 | 2.05 | 3.0% |

As you can see, PKG has a history of exceeding EPS estimates, which has generally led to positive share price movements.

The Current Sentiment: What Analysts Are Saying

Understanding market sentiment and expectations is vital for any investor. Here’s what the analysts are saying about PKG:

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Consensus Rating:

Buy
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Average 1-Year Price Target:

$226.4 (representing a potential 2.85% upside)

A Competitive Landscape: Comparing PKG to its Peers

Let’s take a look at how PKG stacks up against its major competitors, Avery Dennison, International Paper, and Graphic Packaging Holding:

| Company | Consensus Rating | Average 1-Year Price Target | Upside Potential |
|—|—|—|—|
| Packaging Corp of America (PKG) | Buy | $226.4 | 2.85% |
| Avery Dennison | Outperform | $248.43 | 12.86% |
| International Paper | Buy | $52.5 | -76.15% |
| Graphic Packaging Holding | Outperform | $33.0 | -85.01% |

A Deeper Dive into Key Financial Metrics

To truly understand PKG’s position, let’s explore some key financial metrics and how they compare to its peers:

| Company | Consensus | Revenue Growth | Gross Profit | Return on Equity |
|—|—|—|—|—|
| Packaging Corp of America (PKG) | Buy | 6.31% | $437.70M | 4.84% |
| Avery Dennison | Outperform | 6.93% | $662.70M | 7.87% |
| International Paper | Buy | 1.11% | $1.37B | 5.91% |
| Graphic Packaging Holding | Outperform | -6.48% | $481M | 6.70% |

Key Takeaways

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Gross Profit and Return on Equity:

PKG stands out as the top performer in both gross profit and return on equity among its peers.
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Revenue Growth:

PKG’s revenue growth falls in the middle of the pack, demonstrating a healthy growth trajectory.

Who is Packaging Corp of America?

Packaging Corp of America is a leading force in the containerboard and corrugated packaging sector in the United States. It’s the third-largest player in this market, producing over 4.5 million tons of containerboard annually, which translates to roughly a 10% share of the domestic market. PKG distinguishes itself from larger competitors by focusing on smaller customers and operating with great flexibility.

Financial Snapshot

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Market Capitalization:

PKG’s market capitalization is above the industry average, indicating strong confidence in the company’s future.
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Revenue Growth:

Over the past three months (as of June 30th, 2024), PKG experienced impressive revenue growth of approximately 6.31%. This growth rate is above the average for its peers in the Materials sector.
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Net Margin:

PKG’s net margin is below industry benchmarks. While this signals potential challenges in profitability, the company is likely working to address these challenges.
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Return on Equity (ROE):

Like the net margin, PKG’s ROE is below industry benchmarks. The company is likely focused on improving its efficiency in utilizing shareholder equity.
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Return on Assets (ROA):

PKG’s ROA also falls below industry benchmarks. The company may need to explore strategies to enhance its asset utilization.
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Debt Management:

PKG has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a prudent approach to financial management and a balanced strategy for using debt.

Keep an eye out for PKG’s earnings release on October 22nd, and stay tuned for a more detailed analysis after the announcement.

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