The anticipation is building as former President Donald Trump prepares to grace the mic of ‘The Joe Rogan Experience,’ one of the most popular podcasts in the world. And in the realm of political speculation, prediction markets are already buzzing with bets on what hot-button topics Trump might tackle during the highly anticipated interview.
Leading the pack of predictions, there’s an overwhelming 80% chance that Trump will mention ‘McDonald’s,’ a favorite fast-food chain that has become synonymous with his persona. Close behind, with a 64% probability, is the possibility of Trump addressing ‘Trans’ issues, a topic that has become increasingly divisive in American politics. Intriguingly, prediction market traders have also assigned a 48% likelihood to Trump referencing ‘Hitler,’ suggesting a potential focus on historical parallels or criticisms.
Another area of intense focus for traders is whether Trump will delve into the world of ‘Crypto/ Bitcoin BTC/USD,’ with a 33% chance of the topic being raised. This highlights the growing importance of cryptocurrency in the political landscape, particularly as politicians seek to connect with younger generations and tech-savvy voters.
Adding fuel to the fire, there’s a 29% probability that Trump will mention the U.S. border 20 or more times during the conversation. This suggests a potential emphasis on immigration policy, a key issue that has long been a focal point of Trump’s political platform.
This surge of speculation echoes recent prediction markets surrounding Vice President Kamala Harris’ Fox News interview with Brett Baier. Traders had forecast a 14% chance that Harris would mention Trump more than 10 times during her appearance. This reflects the ongoing political polarization and the strategic media appearances being made by both Trump and Harris in the run-up to the 2024 elections.
Despite the growing attention to cryptocurrency in political circles, Harris was only given a 9% chance of addressing crypto or Bitcoin during her discussion. This underscores the complexities and potential risks associated with embracing this emerging technology in the political arena.
Trump’s expected appearance on Joe Rogan’s podcast is seen as an opportunity for him to engage with a broader demographic, particularly male voters, who are key to his political base. Meanwhile, Harris has been making efforts to appeal to conservative voters and those skeptical of Trump by taking on more challenging interviews, including her recent appearance on Fox News, a network not traditionally supportive of Democratic candidates.
The growing role of cryptocurrency in political strategy cannot be overlooked. Harris’ efforts to appeal to new voter bases through discussions on digital assets signal that crypto could become a talking point for major candidates in the 2024 elections. Similarly, the prediction market’s focus on whether Trump will address crypto on the Joe Rogan podcast shows that digital assets are now on the radar for politicians seeking to broaden their appeal. This intersection between politics and cryptocurrency will take center stage at the upcoming Benzinga Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.