The inaugural season of the revamped Swiss-style Champions League is delivering on its promise of unpredictability. Three rounds of league phase matches remain, and the fight for a coveted place in the knockout stages is more intense than ever. The stakes are high: the top eight teams automatically qualify for the Round of 16, while those ranked ninth to 24th face a daunting two-legged playoff in February. Teams finishing 25th to 36th face elimination, missing out on even the consolation prize of Europa League qualification.
Let’s delve into the current standings and assess the prospects of some key contenders:
Liverpool: Dominating the League
Currently sitting pretty at the top of the table with a perfect five wins from five and just one goal conceded, Liverpool are in a commanding position. Their remaining fixtures – Girona (away), Lille (home), and PSV (away) – appear manageable, making a top-eight finish highly likely for the Premier League and Carabao Cup quarter-finalists.
Arsenal: A Tight Race for the Top Eight
Arsenal’s impressive defensive record has kept them in contention. However, an opening draw against Atalanta and a narrow defeat to Inter Milan leave them seventh, clinging to their position on goal difference. Their final two opponents, currently languishing in 23rd and 30th place, offer a significant opportunity to solidify their top-eight aspirations.
Aston Villa: A Dip in Form
Aston Villa’s first Champions League campaign in over four decades has been a rollercoaster. After a strong start topping the table after three wins, their form has dipped, winning only one of their last eight matches across all competitions. Currently ninth, their remaining fixtures against RB Leipzig (away), Monaco (away), and Celtic (home) will be crucial in determining their fate.
Manchester City: A Crisis?
The reigning champions, Manchester City, find themselves in uncharacteristic territory – six games without a win, including a 3-3 draw against Feyenoord. Currently 17th, they are two points away from the top eight but have the quality to stage a comeback. Their upcoming matches against Juventus (away), Paris Saint-Germain (away), and Club Brugge (home) will be defining moments in their season.
Celtic: Punching Above Their Weight
Despite a heavy defeat to Borussia Dortmund, Celtic have impressed, earning a draw against Atalanta and a victory over RB Leipzig. Their chances of at least securing a top-24 finish and playoff berth are increasingly realistic, particularly given their current 20th place.
Barcelona: Goals Galore
Barcelona are a force to be reckoned with, scoring an astounding 60 goals in just 19 games across La Liga and the Champions League. With Robert Lewandowski’s prolific form (22 goals), they’re firm favorites for a top-eight finish. Their upcoming matches against Borussia Dortmund (away), Benfica (away), and Atalanta (home) will test their mettle.
Real Madrid: A Shocking Slump
Last season’s winners, Real Madrid, are experiencing a significant slump, suffering three defeats, including a loss to the in-form Liverpool. Their position at 24th is alarming, and with tough matches against Atalanta and Brest, their hopes for the knockout stages are hanging by a thread.
Borussia Dortmund: Consistency Issues
While Borussia Dortmund’s Bundesliga form has been inconsistent, their Champions League campaign has been more successful. Their current fourth place position suggests they are on track for the top eight. However, they need to maintain their form during their upcoming games against Barcelona (home), Bologna (away), and Shakhtar Donetsk (home).
Bayern Munich: From Highs to Uncertainty
Bayern Munich’s record-breaking 9-2 win over Dinamo Zagreb was a false dawn. Subsequent defeats have dampened their initial momentum, leaving them in 13th. While the possibility of a top-24 finish remains, they face a challenge in securing a knockout stage berth.
Paris Saint-Germain: Underachievers
Despite their domestic dominance, PSG are struggling in the Champions League. Their current 25th place and poor goal-scoring record indicate a serious underperformance. Their remaining fixtures against Red Bull Salzburg, Man City, and Stuttgart are make-or-break opportunities.
The remaining matches will be critical in shaping the final standings. The unpredictable nature of this new format ensures a thrilling finish to the league phase and a fierce battle for a place in the knockout rounds.