Australia’s recently released National Defence Strategy places emphasis on equipping the military to withstand Chinese coercion. However, experts question the effectiveness of solely relying on advanced weapons systems, designed for battle space denial, against China. They argue that such an approach fails to consider the non-lethal nature of modern conflict and the unique vulnerabilities of Australia.
Australia’s true vulnerability lies not in its geographical location or trade routes, but in its economic dependence on China. A suspension of orders for three to six months could severely impact the Australian economy, without China needing to physically block trade routes or deploy submarines.
Experts propose diplomacy as a more effective and cost-efficient solution. By increasing diplomatic engagement, Australia could gain a deeper understanding of China’s perspectives and recognize the legitimacy of its aspirations for a more active role in shaping the global order. This would foster cooperation and dialogue, addressing concerns and finding mutually acceptable solutions.
The adversarial approach currently adopted by Australia, viewing China’s actions as threats, needs to be reassessed. Diplomacy offers a different perspective, one that seeks to resolve conflicts through negotiation and understanding, rather than military confrontation. While Foreign Minister Penny Wong has softened the rhetoric, Australia’s current position remains largely unchanged from the previous government’s aggressive stance.
In conclusion, experts emphasize the importance of diplomacy in preventing economic damage and avoiding conflict with China. They urge Australia to prioritize increased diplomatic engagement, enhance understanding of China, and acknowledge the legitimacy of its role in the global order. This shift in approach would foster cooperation and dialogue, safeguarding Australia’s interests and promoting regional stability.
