In a bombshell revelation, Jon Favreau, a former official in the Obama administration, has claimed that President Joe Biden’s internal campaign polling predicted a staggering 400 electoral vote victory for Donald Trump. Favreau, known for his political commentary on the “Pod Save America” podcast, made the startling statement on his show.
Favreau’s assertion is significant because it contradicts the public narrative surrounding the Biden campaign’s internal assessments. While they publicly touted Biden as the strongest candidate, Favreau alleges that their own polling showed Trump as the clear victor.
“Then we find out when the Biden campaign becomes the Harris campaign, that the Biden campaign’s own internal polling at the time when they were telling us he was the strongest candidate, showed that Donald Trump was going to win 400 electoral votes,” Favreau said on the podcast.
This revelation has raised eyebrows and sparked questions about the Biden campaign’s decision-making process. Favreau further criticized the team for their late recognition of public dissatisfaction over inflation and for undermining Vice President Kamala Harris’ potential for victory. He also expressed disillusionment with Biden and his team, mirroring sentiments shared by other former Obama administration figures.
“Joe Biden’s decision to run for president again was a catastrophic mistake. They refused to acknowledge until very late, that anyone could be upset about inflation. And they just kept telling us that his presidency was historic and it was the greatest economy ever,” Favreau added.
However, a source within the Biden campaign has refuted these allegations, stating that their internal polling never indicated such a wide margin of defeat for Biden.
This controversial claim, whether true or not, highlights the critical role internal polling plays in campaign strategy and raises questions about the reliability of such assessments. The revelation also underscores the importance of addressing public concerns promptly and effectively, and the potential repercussions of underestimating opposition strength.
While the veracity of Favreau’s claims remains contested, this incident provides a glimpse into the internal workings of the Biden campaign and the potential impact of internal polling on campaign strategies. The outcome of the 2024 election may ultimately reveal the extent to which internal polling data shaped the campaign’s approach.
