BofA Securities analyst Michael McGovern has issued a Buy rating for Carvana Co. (CVNA) with a price target of $185. McGovern believes the company is poised for sustained long-term growth in the fragmented $800 billion+ used car market. He expects Carvana to maintain recent improvements in unit economics and leverage as its growth accelerates.
McGovern anticipates a recovery in the used car market as prices normalize, car supply returns, and interest rates begin to fall. While used car sales are currently about 20% below pre-COVID levels, McGovern expects further recovery as interest rates decline.
The analyst projects Carvana’s 2025 revenue to reach $15.45 billion with an EBITDA of $1.50 billion, slightly surpassing Street estimates of $15.31 billion and $1.46 billion respectively. These projections are based on a 20% gross margin and SG&A expenses at 14% of revenue for the year.
Looking ahead to 2026, McGovern anticipates 20% revenue growth driven by high-teens retail unit growth. He emphasizes that near-term profit estimates are achievable without significant new capacity investments as unit growth accelerates and less reconditioning site expansion is needed.
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As of Tuesday, CVNA shares were trading up 1.09% at $154.56.