In the lead-up to the French elections, President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Renaissance (RE) party is grappling with electoral challenges. The emergence of a formidable left-wing coalition, the New Popular Front (NPF), and the surge in popularity of the far-right National Rally (RN) party have put RE’s prospects in jeopardy.
RE’s decline is attributed to its perceived shift away from left-leaning policies, particularly its stance on immigration and proposed pension reforms. This has alienated some of its former supporters, who now see the NPF as a more viable alternative.
On the other hand, the RN has gained traction by capitalizing on anti-immigration sentiments. Led by Marine Le Pen, the party has been running a strong campaign that resonates with voters concerned about illegal immigration.
Surveys indicate that the RN is narrowly ahead of the NPF in the first round of voting, scheduled for June 30. RE, meanwhile, is trailing in third place, raising concerns about its ability to remain a major force in French politics.
Even if RE loses the election, Macron will remain in charge of France’s foreign and defense policies as President. However, he would lose control over the domestic agenda and would face potential conflicts with an opposing prime minister.
The rise of the far-right in France is a significant development that could reshape the country’s political landscape. If the RN achieves significant gains, as polls suggest, it could potentially form a coalition government with smaller parties, altering the balance of power in France.
