The 2024 presidential race continues to heat up, with new poll results showing a tight contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. While Harris currently holds a narrow lead, the race remains highly competitive, with key swing states potentially deciding the outcome.
A recent poll commissioned by The Telegraph and conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies reveals Harris is likely to secure key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. This advantage would give Harris 270 electoral college delegates, the magic number needed to win the presidency. However, Trump trails closely with 262 delegates. This is the first time in the election cycle that the Telegraph’s poll shows the Democratic candidate ahead, although the lead is slim.
The poll suggests that Harris could follow a similar path to victory as President Joe Biden in 2020, relying on strong support in the Midwestern Rust Belt states. However, Trump is projected to win the Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. In Nevada, both candidates are currently tied at 47% support. The nationwide projection assumes the remaining 43 states will vote as they did in 2020.
Despite trailing in the national poll, Trump still has a potential path to 270 electoral college votes. If he wins Pennsylvania, along with North Carolina and Georgia, he could secure the necessary delegates. Additionally, if he cannot win back Pennsylvania, he could still achieve victory by securing the most votes in North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona, even though Harris currently has an advantage in two of those states.
The poll also highlights the importance of the economy in the election. The majority of voters in swing states cited the economy as the most important issue, with many expressing concerns about their personal finances. While voters in five of the seven swing states trust Trump more to handle the economy, those in Georgia and Nevada favor Harris.
The outcome of the 2024 election remains uncertain, with both candidates having potential paths to victory. The race is likely to remain close, with key swing states playing a crucial role in deciding the outcome.
