Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has gained ground against Republican Donald Trump in six of the seven swing states since President Joe Biden exited the 2024 presidential race. This is according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll of registered voters published on Tuesday, July 30th. The poll, conducted online from July 24-28, shows Harris leading Trump in Michigan by 11 percentage points. In Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada, she holds a 2-point advantage. Trump, however, remains ahead of Harris in Pennsylvania by 4 points and in North Carolina by 2 points. The two candidates are neck-and-neck in Georgia.
The only state among the seven where Trump has narrowed his deficit is Wisconsin, compared to Biden’s performance in a previous poll. Tuesday’s poll has a margin of error of 3 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, 4 percentage points in Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, and 5 percentage points in Nevada.
A previous Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll conducted from July 1-5 showed a different picture. Trump was ahead of Biden in Arizona by 3 percentage points; in Georgia by 1 point; in Nevada by 3 points; in North Carolina by 3 points; and in Pennsylvania by 7 points. Biden, however, led in Michigan by 5 points and in Wisconsin by 3 points. The margin of error for the July 1-5 poll was 3 percentage points in Georgia and Pennsylvania, 4 percentage points in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, and 5 percentage points in Nevada.
