House Republicans are facing a potential political crisis as they grapple with the looming threat of a government shutdown just weeks before the November elections. Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has unveiled a plan to prevent a shutdown, but it has drawn significant opposition and sparked concerns about its impact on the GOP’s electoral prospects.
Johnson’s proposal involves a six-month extension of fiscal 2024’s federal funding levels, a so-called ‘continuing resolution’ (CR), which would give House and Senate negotiators more time to work out spending priorities. However, this extension is linked to a bill adding a proof of citizenship requirement to the voter registration process, known as the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, which has drawn strong opposition from Democrats and even some Republicans.
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and the White House have publicly rejected the SAVE Act, making it highly unlikely that Johnson’s plan will pass the Senate. Several House Republicans have expressed concerns that the plan, while well-intentioned, could backfire politically. One lawmaker, speaking anonymously, stated that a shutdown would be a major electoral setback for the GOP. Another House Republican expressed concern about the potential impact of a shutdown on vulnerable Republicans, particularly in competitive districts.
The GOP has traditionally borne the brunt of the blame for past government shutdowns, with public opinion often siding with Democrats in these situations. The looming shutdown, coinciding with the presidential election, further adds to the political stakes. Some Republicans believe that a shutdown could actually benefit their party by highlighting the Democrats’ opposition to election integrity measures, while others are wary of the potential negative consequences.
The situation is further complicated by the fact that former President Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, has actively encouraged a shutdown as leverage to push for the SAVE Act. However, some House Republicans are concerned that Trump’s stance could create a backlash against the GOP.
The potential for a government shutdown hangs precariously over the political landscape. With time running short before the October 1 deadline, it remains to be seen whether Johnson’s plan can gain enough support to prevent a shutdown or whether the GOP will face the wrath of voters just weeks before the election.
