The South China Sea, a crucial waterway for global trade, has become a focal point of escalating tensions between China and its neighbors. China’s relentless pursuit of dominance in the region, fueled by spurious claims of sovereignty over 90% of the sea, has led to a series of confrontations with the Philippines. Recent incidents include Chinese vessels harassing and blocking Philippine Coast Guard personnel attempting to conduct medical evacuations and forcibly pushing a Philippine Coast Guard vessel away from Sabina Shoal, a maritime feature well within the Philippine Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). These actions underscore Beijing’s increasingly aggressive tactics, aimed at silencing dissent and asserting its control over this vital waterway.
China’s ambitions in the South China Sea extend far beyond mere territorial claims. Beijing seeks to control one of the world’s busiest trade routes, establish new military bases, and exploit the region’s untapped resources. If successful, China’s dominance would have profound consequences for the US and its allies, undermining regional stability and jeopardizing the free flow of commerce.
The US has pledged to defend the Philippines under the 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty, but concerns remain in Manila about the depth of America’s commitment. A wavering US response to China’s aggression would severely damage US credibility and interests in the Pacific.
This is where a modern Lend-Lease arrangement between the US and the Philippines enters the picture. Inspired by the successful program implemented during World War II, this proposed arrangement would involve the US providing the Philippines with increased access to military equipment and support in exchange for a long-term lease on certain maritime features within the Philippine EEZ.
Such a deal would serve multiple strategic objectives. Firstly, it would provide the US with a stronger foothold in the South China Sea, enabling it to more effectively safeguard its interests and deter Chinese aggression. Secondly, it would empower the Philippines to strengthen its defenses against China’s provocations, ensuring its ability to protect its sovereign territory and resources.
The proposed lease would not be limited to military installations. It could be used for joint civilian projects like maritime research or commercial ventures, such as joint exploration of Reed Bank, a potential hydrocarbon hotspot. This approach would demonstrate the US commitment to a peaceful and mutually beneficial partnership with the Philippines.
The US should also consider providing the Philippines with critical military support, including amphibious craft, patrol aircraft, helicopters, and decommissioned littoral combat ships. This would significantly bolster the Philippines’ capacity to respond to Chinese threats.
Beyond military assistance, the US could also support the development of civilian infrastructure on Philippine island-garrisons, such as airstrip maintenance and resupply missions. This would enhance the Philippines’ ability to project power and secure its territorial claims.
A modern Lend-Lease arrangement would send a clear message to China that the US stands ready to defend its allies and uphold the rules-based international order. It would also strengthen the US-Philippines alliance and foster broader multilateral cooperation in the region, effectively isolating China diplomatically.
While such an agreement would present challenges, including potential Chinese retaliation and domestic concerns, the long-term benefits far outweigh the risks. By proactively countering China’s aggression today, we can prevent future crises and ensure a stable and prosperous Indo-Pacific region. It’s time to act decisively before China’s dominance in the South China Sea becomes an irreversible reality.
The South China Sea is not a ‘Chinese lake,’ and it’s time we took decisive action to safeguard our interests and preserve regional stability. A modern Lend-Lease arrangement could be the key to achieving this critical goal.
