Nepal’s Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli is set to embark on a groundbreaking maiden foreign trip to China next week, a move that significantly deviates from the established tradition of Nepali prime ministers prioritizing India for their first international visit. This unprecedented trip, scheduled for December 2nd to 6th, is laden with political significance, particularly given the recent strains in India-Nepal relations.
Oli’s decision to bypass India, a long-standing ally and neighbor, has sparked considerable speculation and analysis. While officially framed as a strengthening of ties with China, the timing and context suggest deeper underlying factors at play. Reports suggest that an invitation from India, traditionally extended to newly appointed Nepali prime ministers, was not forthcoming, further fueling interpretations of a rift between the two nations.
The Nikkei Asia and The Hindu have reported that a key objective of Oli’s visit is to seek a waiver on a substantial $216 million loan from China used to finance the Pokhara International Airport. This financial aspect highlights the growing economic interdependence between Nepal and China, and the potential implications for Nepal’s economic trajectory.
Furthermore, experts point to unresolved issues such as India’s reservations regarding Chinese investment in joint India-Nepal projects and Nepal’s pending request for additional air routes over Indian airspace as contributing factors to the strained relationship. These newly constructed airports are reportedly facing losses, adding another layer of complexity to the situation.
Oli’s visit also has a precedent; Maldives President Mohamed Muizzu recently also prioritized other countries over India for his first overseas trip after assuming office. However, Oli was quick to clarify that Nepal maintains amicable relations with India, emphasizing the need to leverage strong ties with both China and India to drive Nepal’s economic growth. He stressed the importance of national sovereignty, independence, and welfare as guiding principles in Nepal’s foreign policy decisions.
This trip represents a significant turning point in Nepal’s foreign policy and will undoubtedly have significant ramifications for the geopolitical landscape of the South Asian region. The ensuing weeks and months will reveal the long-term consequences of this bold move by Nepal’s Prime Minister, potentially reshaping the regional balance of power and the nature of Nepal’s relationships with its powerful neighbours.
