PDD Holdings: Analysts See 92% Upside Despite Recent Slump

Shares of PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD), the Chinese retail-tech giant formerly known as Pinduoduo Inc., are presenting a significant upside opportunity, according to analysts. This bullish outlook comes despite a recent downturn in the stock price, which saw a steep 35% drop in just two trading sessions following disappointing second-quarter results.

PDD’s stock took a major hit on Monday, plummeting 29% after the company reported its Q2 earnings. This marked the worst single-day decline since its 2018 initial public offering (IPO). The primary cause for the sell-off was the company’s guidance for slower growth, attributed to intensified competition in the domestic market and uncertainties in international markets.

However, PDD’s management emphasized their shift to a strategy focused on “high-quality growth.” This involves strengthening support for merchants and improving supply chain efficiency, aiming for a more sustainable and stable growth trajectory.

Following the disappointing Q2 earnings, several analysts have revised their forecasts and price targets for PDD Holdings.

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Benchmark

lowered its price target from $210 to $185 while maintaining a Buy rating. They acknowledged increased risk factors but emphasized that PDD’s core fundamentals remain strong.

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Goldman Sachs

also lowered its price target from $184 to $165 but maintained a Buy rating. Analyst Ronald Keung believes the market is underestimating the strength of PDD’s ecosystem and its clearer outlook for gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth. He highlighted the company’s move away from aggressive ad monetization tactics, which could lead to more sustainable growth.

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Citigroup

reduced its price target from $138 to $110 while retaining a Neutral rating. They cited weaker-than-expected earnings and intensified competition as factors for their downgrade.

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Nomura Instinet

cut its price target from $116 to $105, also maintaining a Neutral rating. They pointed to PDD’s subdued Q2 performance and concerns about future revenue growth as reasons for the revised target.

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Macquarie

lowered its price target from $160 to $140 but reiterated its Outperform rating. Despite the reduction, Macquarie remains optimistic about the stock, believing the market is overreacting to short-term issues.

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Barclays

dropped its price target from $98 to $84 while sticking with an Equal Weight rating. They expressed concerns about the sustainability of PDD’s growth amid increasing competition in the Chinese domestic market.

In addition to PDD, several other Nasdaq 100 stocks have garnered attention from Wall Street analysts, with significant upside potential identified.

Despite the recent challenges, analysts are largely optimistic about PDD’s future prospects, citing its robust ecosystem, commitment to sustainable growth, and attractive valuations. The company’s ability to navigate the competitive landscape and deliver on its long-term growth strategy will be key to regaining investor confidence and realizing the significant upside potential predicted by analysts.

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