The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to win the Brandenburg state election on Sunday, potentially securing their first victory in a traditional Social Democrat stronghold and adding to their recent gains in eastern Germany. The AfD’s success reflects rising concerns over economic woes, immigration, and the Ukraine war, particularly prevalent in the former Communist East. The election outcome could further challenge Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s leadership and raise questions about the Social Democrat’s ability to retain power in the 2025 federal election.