Amazon Earnings: Cloud Growth, AI Boom, and Consumer Spending in Focus

Amazon’s first-quarter earnings report on Tuesday will provide insights into the health of the U.S. consumer and the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. AWS, Amazon’s cloud computing business, has become a key profit driver, and investors will be watching its growth closely. Other areas of interest include advertising revenue, the performance of the retail business, and the company’s cost structure.

US GDP Growth Forecast to Slow in Q1 Amidst Strong Consumer Spending

The US economy is expected to have experienced a slowdown in growth during the first quarter of 2023. Economists anticipate an annualized growth rate of 2.5%, down from 3.4% in the fourth quarter of 2022. This projection is based on the continued strength of consumer spending, a resilient labor market, and investments in nonresidential fixed investment and inventories by businesses. However, residential investment may have declined due to a decrease in multifamily homebuilding. Despite the expected slowdown, a strong labor market and pickup in manufacturing suggest the possibility of an upside surprise in GDP growth. However, market participants are hoping for a softer reading that could lead to earlier interest rate cuts. Strong GDP data could have positive implications for revenue growth but could also delay rate cuts.

US Economic Growth Slows in Q1, Inflation Accelerates

The US economy grew at a slower pace in the first quarter of 2023, while inflation accelerated, according to estimates by the Commerce Department. Consumer spending remained strong, driven by a resilient labor market and pent-up demand. The economy is expected to continue growing above the Fed’s non-inflationary rate, but some economists caution that sentiment surveys indicate a potential slowdown later in the year. The Fed is expected to delay cutting interest rates until September despite the slowdown in economic growth.

Canucks Playoff Run: Economic Impact Limited, Expert Cautions

Concordia University sports economist Moshe Lander warns that while bars and restaurants near Rogers Arena may benefit from the Canucks’ playoff run, the broader economic impact is likely to be minimal. Lander cites research indicating that playoff excitement does not lead to increased spending but rather redistributes it from other areas of the economy.

US Economy Likely Expanded at Solid Pace in First Quarter

The U.S. economy is projected to have expanded at a 2.4% annualized rate in the first quarter of 2023, reflecting solid progress despite a slight slowdown from the fourth quarter’s 3.4% growth. The economy remains resilient, supported by a robust labor market and strong consumer spending, though cooling trends are emerging. Some indicators suggest GDP gains could exceed the consensus forecast, with estimates as high as 3.1% from Goldman Sachs.

Jim Tierney, AB CIO of U.S. Concentrated Wealth, Discusses Market and Consumer Spending on ‘Power Lunch’

Jim Tierney, the Chief Investment Officer of AB Concentrated Wealth in the United States, appeared on CNBC’s ‘Power Lunch’ to share his insights on the current state of the financial markets and consumer spending patterns. Tierney highlighted the resilience of the U.S. consumer despite economic headwinds and expressed optimism about the long-term growth prospects of the market.

Australian CPI Inflation Remains Elevated, Pressuring RBA to Keep Rates High

Australia’s inflation rate rose higher than expected in the first quarter of 2024, reaching 3.6% year-on-year. Despite the slight decrease from the previous quarter’s 4.1%, it remained above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target range, increasing the likelihood of continued high interest rates. The elevated inflation, particularly in housing, food, and healthcare, is weighing on households and dampening consumer spending. However, the stickiness of inflation provides impetus for the RBA to maintain higher rates for longer, a trend that could pose challenges for the Australian economy.

Visa Reports Strong Second Quarter Results, Shares Rise 3.4%

Visa Inc. announced robust financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year, indicating a positive trend in consumer spending and a healthy global consumer market. The company’s net revenue surged by 10%, while GAAP earnings per share (EPS) increased by 12% and non-GAAP EPS by 20%. The overall payment volume witnessed an 8% growth compared to the previous year, and cross-border volume grew significantly by 16%. Despite a slight slowdown in Visa transactions observed in April, the company remains optimistic about its long-term prospects and emphasizes its focus on leveraging the vast opportunities and strengthening partnerships in the consumer payment industry.

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