Stocks Surge as Weak Economic Data Boosts Fed Rate Cut Hopes

Stocks rallied broadly on Tuesday, extending Monday’s rebound, as lower-than-expected economic data fueled expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut by summer’s end. Market participants parsed the S&P Global’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for April, which pointed to a slowdown in private sector growth and eased inflationary pressures. The probability of a Fed rate cut by September jumped to 72%, prompting optimism in the markets. Corporate earnings have also largely exceeded estimates, with investors awaiting results from Visa and Tesla after market close. By midday, the S&P 500 had gained 1.2%, on track for its best performance in over a month. The Nasdaq 100 outpaced the broader market with a 1.5% rise, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced by a more modest 0.6%.

MSCI Stock Plunges 13.2% on Higher Expenses, Despite Beating Q1 EPS Estimates

MSCI’s stock price experienced a significant drop of 13.2% in late morning trading on Tuesday following the release of its first-quarter 2024 financial results. The company’s profitability was impacted by higher expenses, which overshadowed higher-than-expected adjusted EPS. Operating revenue slightly missed analyst estimates, while total operating expenses surged by 22.7% year-over-year. Despite these challenges, MSCI reported growth in its total run rate and recurring subscription run rate. The company also reaffirmed its outlook for fiscal year 2024.

Super Micro Computer Rebounds After Steep Sell-Off

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) experienced a significant rebound on Tuesday, reversing a two-day sell-off that had reduced its valuation by over 20%. The AI server company’s shares surged by more than 7% during late morning trading, becoming the top gainer in the S&P 500. This rise came after Super Micro Computer’s announcement on Friday that it would release its fiscal third-quarter results on April 30. In previous quarters, the company has provided pre-announced results, including an 11-day advance notice of its earnings call in January. Analysts generally predict a quarterly revenue of $3.92 billion and an earnings per share of $5.72. Last week, Loop Capital set a $1,500 price target for the stock, emphasizing the company’s dominance in generative AI servers and its growing advantage over competitors. The rebound in AI stocks, including Super Micro Computer, comes after a challenging Friday trading session. Fears surrounding Super Micro Computer and AI drove down semiconductor stocks.

Alphabet (GOOGL) Earnings Preview: Dividend Announcement Possible

Alphabet (GOOGL) is expected to report strong first-quarter earnings and analysts speculate that the company could announce its first-ever dividend. The move would follow Meta Platforms’ recent dividend announcement and would be a major development for the Google parent. Alphabet has traditionally relied on stock buybacks to return capital to shareholders, but a dividend would provide investors with a more regular income stream. Analysts at Truist expect solid first-quarter results and have raised their price target on the stock to $170 from $158.

Sherwin-Williams Company Reports Lower Earnings, Misses Expectations

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) reported lower-than-expected first-quarter earnings per share and revenue, impacted by delayed capex projects and sluggish sales. Consolidated net sales declined by 1.4% in the quarter. Net sales from stores in the Paint Stores Group open more than twelve calendar months remained flat. Gross margin expanded to 47.2%, driven by cost-cutting initiatives. The company expects full-year revenue to grow moderately, but lowered its adjusted EPS guidance. SHW shares declined by 3.2% in pre-market trading.

S&P 500 Futures Rise Pre-Market Led by GM’s Earnings Beat

S&P 500 futures are edging closer to yesterday’s highs in pre-market trading, with a gain of 20 points or 0.4%. This upward momentum is fueled by positive earnings reports, particularly from GM, whose shares have surged 6% after exceeding expectations and raising guidance on the back of strong truck sales. Spotify’s shares have also witnessed an 8% increase due to impressive earnings. However, UPS, Pepsi, JetBlue, Nucor, and Cleveland-Cliffs have reported earnings misses or declines in demand, resulting in lower share prices.

Novartis Raises Guidance After Strong Q1 Results

Novartis AG (NVS) reported strong first-quarter results, leading the company to raise its full-year guidance. Adjusted EPS increased 17% year over year to $1.80, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.67. Sales reached $11.83 billion, exceeding the consensus of $11.43 billion. Key growth drivers included the heart failure drug Entresto, the psoriasis drug Cosentyx, and the cancer drug Pluvicto. Novartis also announced that Giovanni Caforio will be proposed as the next chair of the board of directors. The company now expects net sales growth in the high-single to low-double-digit percentage range and core operating income growth in the low double-digit to mid-teens percentage range for 2024.

PNC Financial: Mixed Earnings with Top-Line Miss, but Improved Risk Profile

PNC Financial reported mixed first-quarter earnings, beating EPS estimates but missing revenue expectations due to declining net interest income. Despite headwinds from lower loan levels and higher deposit costs, the bank remains profitable and offers a well-supported dividend. However, commercial real estate portfolio risks and the possibility of accelerated federal fund rate cuts pose potential challenges. The bank’s valuation is slightly below its historical average, making it a potential hold for long-term investors.

NextEra Energy Partners Beats Earnings Estimates for Q1 2024

NextEra Energy Partners, LP (NYSE: NEP) reported strong adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the first quarter of 2024, exceeding analyst expectations. The company’s adjusted EPS of $0.75 was $0.50 higher than the analyst estimate of $0.25. However, revenue fell short of expectations, coming in at $257 million compared to the consensus estimate of $340.98 million.

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