Former President Trump holds a slight lead over President Biden in the latest Fox News Power Rankings, with 251 electoral college votes to Biden’s 241. The race remains highly competitive, with four toss-up states (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada) and four other competitive states (Michigan, Minnesota, Georgia, and North Carolina). Trump leads in the battleground states, particularly in the Sun Belt states, while Biden holds a modest advantage on abortion policy. Trump’s consistent leads may be due to his inroads with young, Hispanic, and Black voters. Biden’s vulnerabilities include high prices, increased illegal immigration, and his age. Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District could be a critical factor in determining the outcome if the race ends in a 269-269 electoral college tie.
Results for: Electoral College
The changes to the Electoral College map after the 2020 Census could prove to be pivotal for Trump, who benefited significantly from the adjustments. Republican-leaning states gained two votes in the Electoral College and Democrat-leaning states lost two. These changes make it possible for Trump to win the 2024 election with fewer states than what was required in 2020. If Trump does win in 2024 and the changes to the Electoral College end up contributing to his success, Democrats will use the situation as an excuse to expand their efforts to replace the Electoral College model with a national popular vote system.
The Supreme Court heard arguments on former President Donald Trump’s immunity from criminal prosecution terkait to the 2021 Electoral College convening. Trump’s lawyers argue for absolute immunity for official acts, while the Department of Justice maintains a ‘public authority’ defense, allowing charges but providing a defense based on legal authorization. The Court is expected to make a decision that will have significant implications for future presidents. Despite criticism of the Court’s pace, the case has progressed swiftly, with Special Counsel Jack Smith filing indictments in August 2023.
A Michigan judge has issued a warning that making negative comments about witnesses on social media platforms like Facebook could be seen as an attempt to intimidate and could lead to contempt charges. This concern arose during a hearing involving 16 individuals accused of attempting to send unauthorized Electoral College votes to Congress in an effort to overturn Michigan’s 2020 presidential election results. The judge emphasized that court time should not be consumed by issues related to social media behavior and that such comments are both ‘juvenile’ and ‘ridiculous.’
To preserve American democracy, urgent action is needed to address systemic issues. This includes defeating Trump’s third presidential bid and re-electing Biden, as well as reforming anti-democratic elements in the political system. Biden’s campaign should focus on populism and addressing legitimate anger felt by Americans, redirecting it toward Trump and the GOP. To improve social conditions, Biden should highlight his efforts and plans for areas like healthcare, education, and childcare, while emphasizing the Republican Party’s lack of solutions. Additionally, tackling issues such as the Electoral College and gerrymandering is crucial for creating a more representative and just system.
Republican electors in Michigan are being accused of signing a document falsely declaring Donald Trump the winner of the 2020 presidential election, even though he lost the state. The accused electors signed the document with the condition that Trump would win any pending election challenges.
The decennial census in the United States influences the allocation of House representatives and electoral votes. Some have speculated that excluding undocumented immigrants from the count could impact election outcomes. However, an analysis of population data and electoral results reveals that while it could affect individual state representation, it would not have a significant impact on the overall balance of power or the outcome of the most recent presidential election.
For decades, the Republican party has worked to suppress Black votes, as evidenced by the gerrymandering of congressional districts in Louisiana and Alabama. Despite the passage of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, Southern states continue to fight against Black representation, with the latest action being a lawsuit to block a new map that would include a second Black district in Louisiana. Lawmakers such as Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) and former President Trump claim concerns about election integrity, but the facts show that voter fraud by noncitizens is not a widespread issue. The real threat to democracy is the ongoing racism and white supremacy that has been baked into the nation’s systems, such as the electoral college and the underrepresentation of Black voters.