U.S. Housing Market Sees Surge in Unsold Homes, Potentially Signaling a Shift

The U.S. housing market is experiencing a rise in unsold homes, particularly in states that saw an influx of residents during the pandemic. This trend could indicate a return to a more balanced market, offering more choices for buyers, but may also lead to price adjustments in some regions. Factors contributing to the increase include higher mortgage rates, migration patterns, and rising costs of homeownership.

Housing Market Shift: Lock-In Effect Loosens, But Don’t Expect a Price Crash

The percentage of US homeowners with mortgage rates below 6% is decreasing, suggesting a potential shift in the housing market. While this could lead to more homes being listed for sale, experts caution against expecting a major price drop due to persistent demand and limited supply. The Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest rate cuts might further influence the market, potentially accelerating the trend of more homeowners selling but also stimulating buyer demand.

Mortgage Rates Fall, But Homebuyers Remain Cautious, Slowing Sales

Despite falling mortgage rates, homebuyers remain hesitant, leading to slower sales. Builders and economists attribute this to the expectation of further rate declines, with homeowners holding onto their lower-rate mortgages and prospective buyers waiting for even better deals. However, some signs of optimism exist with existing home sales rising for the first time in five months.

Toll Brothers Exceeds Expectations in Q3, Raises FY24 Guidance

Toll Brothers, a luxury homebuilder, reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results, exceeding both revenue and earnings estimates. The company also raised its full-year guidance for key metrics, including unit deliveries and earnings per share, reflecting continued strength in the housing market. Analyst sentiment remains positive, with several firms raising their price targets on the stock.

Lowe’s Earnings Preview: Clues on Consumer Spending and Housing Sector

Lowe’s Companies (LOW) is set to report its second-quarter earnings on Tuesday, providing investors with insights into consumer spending on home repairs and its impact on the housing market. Analysts expect a revenue decline and earnings per share to drop compared to last year’s second quarter, with concerns about weather-related challenges and a lagging do-it-yourself market. Key areas to watch include comparable sales performance, customer transactions, average ticket size, and updates on Lowe’s new loyalty program and delivery options.

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