Humana Beats Q3 Earnings Expectations, Raises 2024 Guidance, but Medicare Advantage Margin Target Faces Headwinds

Humana Inc. (HUM) exceeded analysts’ expectations for its third-quarter earnings, driven by strong growth in Medicare Advantage membership and higher per-member premiums. The company also raised its 2024 guidance for individual Medicare Advantage membership growth and earnings, but acknowledged challenges to its Medicare Advantage margin target due to the impact of the 2025 MA Star ratings.

Humana Reports Quarterly Net Income Exceeding $741 Million, Boosts Medicare Advantage Membership Forecast

Humana, the health insurer, announced a quarterly net income of over $741 million on April 24, 2024. The company also revised its forecast upwards for the growth of its Medicare Advantage membership, a significant portion of their business. Medicare Advantage plans provide additional services and benefits to seniors, such as disease management and support hotlines. After reporting a loss in Q4 and facing higher medical costs in its Medicare Advantage business earlier this year, Humana’s recent report marks a positive turn. The company’s stock price has been affected by these previous reports.

Humana’s first-quarter net earnings were $741 million, or $6.11 per share, compared to $1.2 billion or $9.87 per share in the same quarter of 2023. The company also saw an increase in its Medicare Advantage membership, with 6.1 million enrollees at the end of the first quarter, compared to 5.6 million in the previous year’s quarter. This contributed to a rise in total revenue by over 10%, from $26.7 billion in the first quarter of 2023 to $29.6 billion this year.

Humana Surprises with Strong Q1, but Medicare Concerns Linger

Humana (HUM) reported better-than-expected Q1 results, with revenue growth of ~11% YoY to $29.6 billion. However, adjusted EPS fell ~23% YoY to $7.23 due to an increase in the benefit ratio, which rose to ~89% from ~86% a year ago. Despite this, the company reaffirmed its full-year EPS target of ~$16.00 and benefit ratio of ~90% for its insurance segment. However, it raised Medicare Advantage annual membership growth by 50,000 to 150,000. Humana also withdrew its previously issued 2025 guidance due to uncertainty surrounding Medicare’s recent final MA rate notice.

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