The race to identify the elusive creator of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto, takes a new turn as Len Sassaman, a late technologist, gains significant ground on the social prediction market Manifold. While Peter Todd, previously favored in the HBO documentary ‘Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,’ saw his odds drastically decline, Sassaman’s odds have climbed to 26%, making him the platform’s current frontrunner. This fluctuating landscape reveals the unpredictable nature of these online prediction markets.