Despite his surprising lead as of May 24th according to recent polls, Trump’s victory is far from guaranteed. However, the Republican base solidly supports him and views the trials as mere political stunts. Biden, on the other hand, faces the challenge of boosting his approval ratings, which have been stuck in the low 40s. Factors that could potentially shift the election’s dynamics include the upcoming debate, Trump’s vice presidential pick, legal rulings, and minority voter preferences. It remains uncertain whether Trump’s legal troubles will fade or persist, and the courts’ decisions will undoubtedly influence the outcome. The next significant evaluation point is Labor Day, as campaigns prepare for the final stretch.