Results for: MLB Betting

The Detroit Tigers aim to complete a three-game sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays tonight. Despite slightly favoring Detroit, odds are at +155 for the Tigers to win by 1.5 runs. Detroit’s Jack Flaherty faces Tyler Alexander in the matchup. While Alexander may perform well against his former team, concerns linger over the Rays’ bullpen’s ability to prevent runs and secure a victory. BetMGM Sportsbook offers enticing odds for Tigers win and combined runs over 3 (+310) and total runs over 6.5 (+190). Despite early struggles for Spencer Torkelson, Riley Greene’s recent performance provides hope for the Tigers’ offensive success.

Patrick Corbin continues to struggle immensely as the Washington Nationals’ starting pitcher, allowing an alarming 1.62 hits per inning this season with an 8.06 ERA. His opponents have a remarkable .351 batting average against him on pitches within the strike zone since 2022, the worst mark among MLB starters. Despite their disappointing 13-11 record, the Los Angeles Dodgers remain a potent offensive force, averaging 5.17 runs per game and ranking third in baseball with a .344 xwOBA. Bettors are heavily backing the Dodgers to score at least 2.5 runs in the first five innings or 5.5 runs overall against Corbin. James Paxton, who will start for the Nationals, also faces significant regression concerns. With an xFIP of 6.03, xERA of 5.12, and a poor K/BB ratio, Paxton is likely to see his ERA rise from its current level.

Coming into Monday’s series opener between the Arizona Diamondbacks and St. Louis Cardinals, the two teams appear to be moving in opposite directions. Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt has shown signs of improvement, while Cardinals starter Lance Lynn has been performing above his expected metrics. Looking at the underlying numbers, Pfaadt’s 3.57 xFIP and increasing ground ball and strikeout rates suggest he should improve on his 5.32 ERA. Lynn, on the other hand, has benefited from a low .241 BABIP and an unsustainably high strand rate, which could lead to regression. Overall, the Diamondbacks have a slight edge offensively with a higher wRC+, better plate discipline, and a more potent xSLG. Defensively, the Diamondbacks were one of the best teams in the league last season and are expected to be better than the Cardinals in that regard in 2023. With Arizona holding several advantages not reflected in the current betting prices, the Diamondbacks offer value on the moneyline.