Concerns Rise as Mortgage Demand Plummets Amid Climbing Rates

Mortgage demand is plummeting as interest rates continue to climb, leading to fears of a potential housing market crash. Mortgage applications dropped by 2.7% last week, driven by a jump in mortgage rates to 7.24%, the highest level since November. Applications to refinance fell even more dramatically, decreasing by 6% from the previous week. Purchase applications also saw a decrease of 1%, marking a significant 15% decline year-over-year. Despite the falling demand, home prices continue to rise, largely due to the limited inventory of available homes for sale. As a result, analysts believe that a housing market crash is unlikely in the near future.

Treasury Yields Surge to Multi-Month Highs, Impacting Mortgage Market and Raising Economic Concerns

Treasury yields have witnessed a significant upward trajectory, reaching their highest levels since November 2023. This surge is having a direct impact on the U.S. mortgage market, with rates rising to their highest levels since late 2023. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has escalated to 7.24%, leading to a decline in mortgage application activity. Meanwhile, the rising yields have amplified concerns about the burgeoning federal deficit, with some analysts expressing worries about its potential to destabilize the market. From a technical standpoint, the monthly chart for 30-year Treasury yields exhibits an ascending channel, suggesting the possibility of further yield increases. Key resistances to watch include 5% and higher, raising the potential for negative returns in bonds.

Lloyds Banking Group’s Profits Slump as Competition Heats Up

Lloyds Banking Group’s pre-tax profits have taken a significant hit in the first quarter of 2024 due to increased competition in the mortgage market and rising costs. Despite a 22 percent increase in revenues, profits dropped by 28 percent to £1.6 billion. The decline was attributed to lower mortgage rates, a new Bank of England levy, and severance pay increases following redundancies. However, the bank anticipates easing pressure on its margins in the second half of the year.

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