Veteran pollster Nate Silver analyzes the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, concluding that Harris likely won the debate. He attributes her victory to effective tactics and Trump’s struggles with the format and his messaging. Silver also discusses the impact of the debate on the polls and the potential for a second debate.
A new forecast by veteran pollster Nate Silver predicts that Donald Trump has a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in the Electoral College, despite Harris maintaining a narrow lead in national polls. Silver’s model, which considers factors like convention bumps and candidate endorsements, suggests a close and uncertain race, potentially resulting in a ‘toss-up’ situation.
According to Nate Silver’s election forecast, former President Donald Trump has a slight lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, despite Harris holding a national polling advantage. This shift is attributed to an adjustment for the convention bounce effect. However, Harris could regain momentum if she maintains her current standing for a few more weeks.
