The latest National Poll by The New York Times and Siena College shows a virtual dead heat between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, each garnering 48% of the popular vote. The race is intensifying in key battleground states, with immigration and economic concerns dominating voter sentiment. Harris leads among women and in key demographic groups, while Trump holds an advantage among men.
Regardless of whether former President Donald Trump is found guilty or acquitted in his criminal trial, the verdict is unlikely to have a significant impact on voters’ perceptions in his 2024 election rematch with President Biden, according to a new national poll. The survey found that two-thirds of registered voters said a guilty verdict would make no difference to their vote in the presidential election, while 17% said it would make them less likely to vote for Trump and 15% said they’d be more inclined to support him. If Trump is acquitted, three-quarters of those surveyed said it wouldn’t impact their vote, with 14% saying a not guilty verdict would make them more likely to back Trump and 9% saying they’d be less likely to vote for him.
