Artificial Intelligence: A Game-Changer for U.S. Natural Gas Industry

The surge in data center construction driven by the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology is poised to significantly increase the demand and prices of natural gas in the United States. According to investment bank Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co., the soaring electricity consumption by data centers will require an additional 8.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of natural gas by 2030, pushing up prices to an average of $4 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This development could challenge the Biden Administration’s ambitious target of transitioning to a carbon-free electricity grid by 2035.

EPA Finalizes Power Plant Rules, but Gas Plants Get a Pass

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized new rules aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, but the rules do not include specific measures to address emissions from the nation’s natural gas-fired power plants. This is a significant omission, as natural gas is the largest source of electricity generation in the United States.

EPA Administrator Michael Regan has stated that the agency is taking more time to strengthen rules for existing gas power plants, but this delay could leave the decision to a potential future Trump administration, which has previously tried to weaken environmental protections.

The EPA has also announced that it is gathering input for a possible new rule to address emissions from existing natural gas plants, but it is unclear how long this process will take. In the meantime, the agency has given power plants until 2032 to comply with the new pollution-cutting measures, which is two years later than originally proposed.

Environmental groups have welcomed the new standards but have also expressed concern about the lack of specific measures to address gas-fired power plants. They argue that a comprehensive approach is needed to meet the Biden administration’s climate commitments and protect public health.

Baker Hughes Reports Strong Q1, Outlines Growth Opportunities in Natural Gas, LNG, and New Energy Sectors

Baker Hughes (BKR), a leading oilfield services company, has reported a solid first quarter with a 50% increase in earnings per share (EPS) compared to the previous year and a significant rise in EBITDA margins. The company has secured major contracts with industry giants such as Petrobras, Aramco, and Black & Veatch and is focusing on growth opportunities in natural gas, LNG, and new energy sectors. With a positive outlook for international markets and a strategic emphasis on artificial intelligence and decarbonization, Baker Hughes is positioning itself to meet the evolving demands of the energy sector.

AI Data Center Boom Could Drive Surge in Natural Gas Demand

Artificial Intelligence (AI) data centers are expected to contribute to a significant increase in natural gas demand in the second half of the decade. According to a report from Tudor Pickering Holt & Co, an additional 8.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day may be required to meet the growing power needs of AI data centers. This increased demand could have a positive impact on pipeline operators and gas producers.

Coterra Energy: A Solid Performer with Upside Potential Amidst Natural Gas Headwinds

Coterra Energy (CTRA) stands out as a resilient investment in the challenging natural gas market. Its diversified portfolio, including high-performing Permian assets, provides a buffer against depressed natural gas prices. With the industry facing oversupply in 2024, CTRA’s profitability may be temporarily affected. However, a projected shift towards normalized weather patterns in 2025 and increased LNG export capacity offer a promising outlook for the company. CTRA’s strong financial position, low leverage ratio, and commitment to shareholder returns make it a compelling investment opportunity, especially below $30 per share.

Blaine Higgs Pitches LNG Exports as Alternative to Carbon Tax

New Brunswick Premier Blaine Higgs has proposed exporting natural gas to Europe as a way to reduce carbon emissions globally and avoid the federal carbon tax. However, his plan faces several hurdles, including local opposition to fracking, international energy market dynamics, and the lack of an accounting system for global emissions reductions. Critics argue that Higgs’s focus on reducing emissions elsewhere is short-sighted and that Canada needs to take responsibility for its own emissions.

Vistra Corporation: Buy for Capital Appreciation, but Not Dividends

Vistra Corporation (VST) remains a “buy” recommendation for investors seeking capital appreciation due to:

– Acquisition of significant nuclear power generation
– Low natural gas prices
– Texas population growth
– Oilfield electrification
– AI prospects for electricity demand growth
– Crypto mining
– Share buybacks

However, Vistra’s dividend yield is only 1.3%, making it unsuitable for dividend hunters. Despite its stock price increase, concerns remain regarding high leverage and rising debt costs.

Scroll to Top