Donald Trump’s unexpected victory in the 2024 US Presidential election has once again exposed the limitations of opinion polls. Pollsters failed to predict Trump’s surging support across various demographics and regions, particularly among Hispanic and white voters. This is not the first time Trump’s popularity has been underestimated, highlighting a persistent problem with gauging his support and the impact of non-respondents in polls.
Stuart Stevens, a former Republican strategist, has made a bold prediction: Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 Presidential Election by a comfortable margin. This prediction comes despite recent polls showing a close race and potential hurdles for Harris. The article explores Stevens’ rationale, analyzes potential scenarios, and delves into the dynamics of the upcoming election.
With the Japanese election looming on October 27th, polls are indicating that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) may face a significant setback. Multiple media outlets predict that the LDP could lose its sole majority in the lower house for the first time in 15 years, potentially ushering in a new political landscape in Japan.
