Taiwan has taken a significant step towards strengthening its defense capabilities by allocating billions of dollars to construct seven additional submarines over the next 14 years. The move, approved by the cabinet on Thursday, reflects the island’s growing concerns about potential threats from China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA). The proposed budget of NT$284 billion (US$8.88 billion) for the project is expected to undergo legislative review later this month.
This ambitious undertaking highlights Taiwanese leader William Lai Ching-te’s commitment to defending the island. However, the decision has drawn criticism from some analysts who argue that proceeding with such a substantial expenditure before the prototype submarine has completed its sea trials is premature.
Cabinet spokesman Chen Shih-kai explained that the submarines will be built between 2025 and 2038 under the Indigenous Defence Submarine Programme. He emphasized that the initiative aims to enhance national defense capabilities and contribute to maintaining peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region.
The prototype submarine, named Hai Kun or Narwhal, was unveiled in September 2022. Built by CSBC Corporation Taiwan at a cost of approximately NT$26 billion, it features a unique X-shaped rudder design optimized for shallow water operations. The submarine is equipped with a combat system from Lockheed Martin and will carry US-made MK-48 torpedoes. It is nearing completion of its harbor acceptance test and is scheduled to undergo sea trials next month, with delivery expected by November 2024.
Taiwan’s decision to expand its submarine fleet comes against a backdrop of heightened tensions with Beijing, which considers Taiwan part of its territory. While most countries, including the United States, do not officially recognize Taiwan as a separate state, Washington supports the island’s defense and opposes any forceful attempts to alter its status.
The addition of seven new submarines to Taiwan’s fleet is seen as a significant boost to its defensive capabilities. Analysts believe these submarines, coupled with ground-based and ship-launched missiles, could effectively deter potential amphibious attacks from the PLA.
However, concerns about the government’s approach have been raised. Military commentator Lu De-yun expressed concerns about proceeding with such a large budget before the prototype’s sea trials are complete, arguing that it could lead to inaccuracies in the final budget due to expected modifications during testing.
Chieh Chung, secretary general of the Association of Strategic Foresight, supports the construction of additional submarines but emphasizes the need for a more cautious budget allocation process. He suggests that multi-year military budgets are typically approved in smaller increments, allowing for adjustments based on testing outcomes.
The initial funding for the project will be NT$2 billion, with further allocations subject to legislative approval. The decision to expand Taiwan’s submarine fleet underscores the island’s commitment to bolstering its defense in the face of growing challenges from China. While the project has generated both support and concerns, it is likely to have significant implications for regional security dynamics.
