Taiwan’s defence ministry has stated that China currently lacks the capability to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan, citing insufficient equipment and logistical challenges. However, the ministry acknowledges the escalating threat posed by China’s rapid military modernization, including the development of advanced weapons like the H-20 bomber and hypersonic missiles, as well as the expansion of its nuclear arsenal.
The ministry’s annual threat assessment, presented to lawmakers, highlights the ongoing efforts by China to refine its military tactics and strategies, particularly in areas like joint command operations. While acknowledging these developments, the ministry emphasizes that the complex geography of the Taiwan Strait and limitations in landing equipment and logistics continue to hinder China’s invasion capabilities.
In a significant demonstration of China’s growing assertiveness, the ministry highlighted the recent military drills conducted around Taiwan in May, coinciding with the inauguration of President Lai Ching-te. During these exercises, Chinese coast guard ships conducted interception and inspection drills off the east coast of Taiwan for the first time. This action, according to the ministry, was aimed at practicing methods to isolate Taiwan from the outside world and potentially blockade its access to vital resources.
The report further suggests that China could resort to the inspection of foreign cargo ships as a form of pressure on Taiwan, potentially falling short of full-scale conflict. The waters surrounding Taiwan, including the Taiwan Strait, are crucial international shipping routes, making any disruption a significant concern.
Responding to these concerns, Taiwan is accelerating its defense spending, prioritizing the development of missiles, submarines, and other weapons systems to deter potential aggression from China. President Lai, while seeking dialogue with Beijing, emphasizes that Taiwan’s future will be determined solely by its people and reiterates the importance of robust self-defense capabilities.
China’s stance remains unwavering, with its defense ministry reiterating that the possibility of conflict arises from the Taiwan government’s perceived pursuit of independence. The ministry’s spokesperson, Wu Qian, warns of dire consequences for Taiwan if its perceived independence efforts continue.
