As Americans began casting their ballots over the weekend, the 2024 US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remained a nail-biting affair. Neither candidate has managed to secure a comfortable lead, making this the closest White House race in over six decades.
Recent polls paint a picture of a tight contest. A CNN Poll of Polls indicates Kamala Harris currently holds a narrow 3-point advantage over Donald Trump. However, this lead is considered precarious, especially considering the historical volatility of election polls. Since 1948, the average difference between pre-election polls and actual election results has been 3 points, suggesting a potential for significant swings on Election Day.
Adding to the uncertainty, polling data released by CBS News on Sunday revealed that Vice President Harris has edged ahead in crucial battleground states, shifting from a 50-50 tie in August. She currently holds a 4-point national lead over Donald Trump. The NBC News poll reflects a similar trend, placing Harris 5 points ahead of Trump.
However, the New York Times/Siena College poll offers a contrasting perspective. Released on Monday, it shows Trump surpassing Harris in key battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. The poll indicates Trump leads Harris by 5 points in Arizona, 4 points in Georgia, and 2 points in North Carolina.
With the election entering its final stages, the race remains fiercely competitive. The narrow margins and conflicting poll data highlight the unpredictable nature of this historic election. The next few days will be crucial as voters make their final decisions and the nation awaits the outcome.