The U.S. dollar recovered in early European trading on Wednesday after a decline in the previous session, with traders closely monitoring forthcoming economic data for indications of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decisions.
The dollar’s recent slide was mostly attributed to data indicating a decline in U.S. business growth, with activity falling to a four-month low in April. However, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials have suggested that this particular data point is unlikely to result in rate cuts being moved forward to the summer.
Gross domestic product data for the first quarter and personal consumption price expenditures data, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, are expected to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively, and may trigger more significant market movements. The first Fed rate cut is generally anticipated to occur in September, with November being the second most likely month and June now considered unlikely.
In Europe, the euro gave up some of its gains from the previous session, while the pound fell after initially benefiting from positive data on UK business growth. The Bank of England is anticipated to lower interest rates by at least half a percentage point this year, while the European Central Bank has indicated a rate cut at its next policy meeting in June.
In Asia, the yen weakened, bringing USD/JPY closer to the 155 level, despite warnings from Japanese authorities about possible government intervention to support the currency. The Bank of Japan’s policy meeting on Friday will be closely watched for any shifts in its outlook on inflation and economic growth.